Research Article

The Predictive Validity of a Two-Step Selection Process to Medical Schools

Table 2

Results of several simulated selection rules.

ā€‰PredictorsMean of Year 1 scoreCorrelation with Year 1 score

One-step selection rulesComposite 11.070.61
MOR0.610.53
Composite 2-MOR1.110.63
Two-step selection rules1st step: Composite 1, 2nd step: MOR0.930.53
1st step: Composite 1, 2nd step: Composite 2-MOR1.110.63

Composite 1 = a hypothetical variable simulating the combination of the PET total score and the Bagrut score in equal weights; MOR = a hypothetical variable simulating the total score in MOR assessment center; and Composite 2-MOR = a hypothetical variable simulating the combination of Composite 1 score and the MOR total score in equal weights.