Research Article
Shrinking Regions in a Shrinking Country: The Geography of Population Decline in Lithuania 2001–2011
Table 3
Linear regression model of percentage of population change at the
seniūnija level (
).
| | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | | | | | | | | | |
| Sociodemographic characteristics | | | | | | | | | Percentage of working-age population, 2001 | 1.192 | | 0.748 | | −0.224 | −0.079 | −0.314 | | Percentage of households with children, 2001 | | | 0.513 | | 0.879 | | 0.979 | | Socioeconomic characteristics | | | | | | | | | Percentage of university education, 2001 | | | | | 0.246 | | 0.291 | | Change in the percentage of university education, 2001–2011 | | | | | 2.661 | | 2.031 | | Percentage of employed, 2001 | | | | | | | 0.116 | | Percentage of employment in business services, 2001 | | | | | | | 1.475 | | Change in the percentage of employment in business services, 2001–2011 | | | | | | | 5.448 | | Percentage of high-ranking occupation, 2001 | | | | | | | −0.346 | |
| Constant | −87.676 | | −78.899 | | −51.620 | | −52.557 | | | 0.177 | | 0.215 | | 0.461 | | 0.533 | | (df), significance | 544 (1), 0.000 | | 543 (2), 0.000 | | 541 (4), 0.000 | | 537 (8), 0.000 | | Residual sum of squares (total 107 440) | 88 449 | | 84 339 | | 57 961 | | 50 125 | |
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