Research Article
Two-Scale Network Dynamic Model for Energy Commodity Processes
Table 5
Real and simulated estimates (without jump) for natural gas, crude oil, and coal.
| | Real | Natural gas | Real | Crude oil | Real | Coal | Simulated | Simulated | Simulated |
| 11 | 4.0200 | 4.0500 | 58.9900 | 56.5200 | 16.5900 | 16.8000 | 12 | 3.9900 | 4.0500 | 59.5200 | 59.3099 | 17.4600 | 16.8635 | 13 | 3.7500 | 3.6690 | 61.4500 | 59.3377 | 17.8900 | 17.8086 | 14 | 3.7700 | 3.6341 | 60.4900 | 59.4191 | 17.5500 | 17.0859 | 15 | 3.4100 | 3.3967 | 61.1500 | 59.6974 | 17.4100 | 17.0859 | 16 | 3.3500 | 3.3967 | 62.4800 | 59.6974 | 16.7500 | 17.0859 | 17 | 3.4900 | 3.4537 | 63.4100 | 61.2177 | 17.6600 | 19.0677 | 18 | 3.5500 | 3.4537 | 65.0900 | 61.4561 | 17.5200 | 16.0578 | 19 | 3.9200 | 3.8618 | 66.3100 | 61.6529 | 18.5000 | 19.0677 | 20 | 3.8600 | 3.8618 | 68.5900 | 60.9364 | 19.0600 | 19.0677 | … | … | … | … | … | … | … | 495 | 4.1900 | 4.0368 | 107.1800 | 104.1295 | 32.7600 | 31.3108 | 496 | 4.3300 | 4.1868 | 110.8400 | 111.1245 | 33.6500 | 32.7737 | 497 | 4.3300 | 4.1025 | 111.7200 | 112.4675 | 33.7100 | 33.4888 | 498 | 4.3700 | 4.0964 | 111.6800 | 110.8795 | 34.7500 | 35.5907 | 499 | 4.3200 | 4.1042 | 111.7200 | 104.2465 | 34.5400 | 32.9391 | 500 | 4.3500 | 4.0548 | 112.3100 | 109.9535 | 34.0400 | 36.2674 | 501 | 4.3800 | 4.0548 | 112.3800 | 109.9995 | 33.1000 | 36.2674 | 502 | 4.5100 | 4.3249 | 113.3900 | 104.3254 | 33.6700 | 34.8915 | 503 | 4.6000 | 4.3555 | 113.0300 | 113.2356 | 33.9400 | 35.0472 | 504 | 4.6000 | 4.3491 | 110.6000 | 103.9435 | 33.8300 | 32.8992 | 505 | 4.5900 | 4.3609 | 108.7900 | 104.9995 | 32.0200 | 32.8992 | … | … | … | … | … | … | … | 1102 | 3.7200 | 3.5963 | 108.2300 | 110.5149 | 4.7700 | 2.8861 | 1103 | 3.7300 | 3.5963 | 106.2600 | 105.8076 | 5.0100 | 5.6871 | 1104 | 3.6800 | 3.4099 | 104.7000 | 105.8076 | 4.9800 | 5.3821 | 1105 | 3.6600 | 3.4356 | 103.6200 | 105.8076 | 4.7300 | 4.9221 | 1106 | 3.5900 | 3.4636 | 103.2200 | 106.9547 | 4.6800 | 4.2352 | 1107 | 3.5200 | 3.2573 | 102.6800 | 105.4047 | 4.6300 | 5.8172 | 1108 | 3.4900 | 2.8981 | 103.1000 | 102.4928 | 4.7400 | 6.0376 | 1109 | 3.5100 | 2.8981 | 102.8600 | 102.4928 | 4.3300 | 5.1121 | 1110 | 3.4800 | 3.0267 | 102.3600 | 102.4928 | 4.1800 | 4.8978 |
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