A New Residual Life Prediction Method for Complex Systems Based on Wiener Process and Evidential Reasoning

<table class="fixed-width table-group" id="tab1"><tr><td><table class="table"><colgroup><col style="width:7.96em"/><col style="width:10.19em"/><col style="width:10.19em"/></colgroup><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Estimated parameters</td><td class="align_center">Drift coefficient <svg height="12.783pt" id="M183" style="vertical-align:-0.2063999pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.5766 6.59789 12.783" width="6.59789pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,1.031,-3.549)"><path d="M470 557C393 591 314 624 246 666H224C156 624 76 591 0 557L12 532C86 550 163 573 235 596C309 572 384 550 458 532L470 557Z" id="g119-17"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M475 507C475 612 440 712 326 712C139 712 23 420 23 215C23 96 58 -12 180 -12C369 -12 475 293 475 507ZM391 522C391 486 387 448 379 394H126C155 538 222 677 310 677C386 677 391 571 391 522ZM373 346C344 193 283 22 189 22C126 22 106 114 106 196C106 243 111 293 118 346H373Z" id="g113-230"></path></g></svg></td><td class="align_center">Diffusion coefficient <svg height="11.7978pt" id="M184" style="vertical-align:-0.2063999pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -11.5914 10.396 11.7978" width="10.396pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M387 375C387 402 357 448 257 448C172 448 82 404 82 326C82 289 108 255 156 241V239C85 223 23 181 23 116C23 39 89 -12 182 -12C265 -12 336 31 378 91L361 114C320 73 269 47 216 47C157 47 115 82 115 137C115 191 160 219 218 219C243 219 262 218 272 217L304 259L302 266C295 265 281 264 255 264C195 264 163 294 163 335C163 377 200 416 249 416C293 416 321 389 329 342C331 332 335 329 341 329C355 329 387 352 387 375Z" id="g113-247"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,5.331,-5.741)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z" id="g50-51"></path></g></svg></td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 23.1568ptpx;"><svg height="8.8423pt" id="M185" style="vertical-align:-0.2064009pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 23.1568 8.8423" width="23.1568pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M743 650H503L496 622L527 618C563 613 564 603 532 573C449 495 371 431 323 392C301 374 272 355 246 346L280 522C297 609 300 614 379 622L385 650H135L129 622C209 614 215 609 198 522L124 133C106 39 99 35 23 28L17 0H271L277 28C193 35 192 39 208 133L239 316C264 328 280 325 303 288C368 183 435 90 502 0H652L659 28C602 34 584 43 543 94C495 154 403 283 347 369L574 554C634 603 659 612 735 624L743 650Z" id="g113-76"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,9.817,0)"><path d="M445 282C445 390 384 448 297 448C266 448 231 437 189 418C96 376 23 279 23 151C23 65 66 -12 169 -12C233 -12 294 18 337 53C411 113 445 201 445 282ZM355 280C355 161 302 62 243 36C231 31 219 30 207 30C147 30 111 78 111 154C111 302 180 380 220 399C231 404 246 407 264 407C311 407 355 367 355 280Z" id="g113-112"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,15.706,0)"><path d="M536 404C536 423 520 448 491 448C445 448 398 404 308 283L286 338C255 416 242 448 217 448C182 448 138 402 92 341L111 321C149 368 169 378 178 378C188 378 198 363 214 320L254 212C185 117 138 65 107 65C98 65 85 69 82 75C79 82 73 86 65 86C44 86 23 60 23 39C23 7 44 -12 71 -12C119 -12 168 33 265 177L306 61C321 17 347 -12 373 -12C413 -12 465 33 507 96L491 119C459 84 432 60 413 60C395 60 378 92 358 148L321 250C341 279 369 310 389 332C417 363 439 382 456 382C466 382 475 376 481 368C486 361 492 358 496 358C513 358 536 381 536 404Z" id="g113-121"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">0.0032</td><td class="align_center">0.0072</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 22.0085ptpx;"><svg height="8.8423pt" id="M186" style="vertical-align:-0.2064009pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 22.0085 8.8423" width="22.0085pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M743 650H503L496 622L527 618C563 613 564 603 532 573C449 495 371 431 323 392C301 374 272 355 246 346L280 522C297 609 300 614 379 622L385 650H135L129 622C209 614 215 609 198 522L124 133C106 39 99 35 23 28L17 0H271L277 28C193 35 192 39 208 133L239 316C264 328 280 325 303 288C368 183 435 90 502 0H652L659 28C602 34 584 43 543 94C495 154 403 283 347 369L574 554C634 603 659 612 735 624L743 650Z" id="g113-76"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,9.817,0)"><path d="M352 391C352 416 319 448 267 448C236 448 173 423 147 400C107 364 96 332 96 304C96 248 143 210 193 181C241 153 258 124 258 100C258 72 232 38 184 38C151 38 107 66 81 108C77 114 64 116 55 111C34 99 23 84 23 65C23 29 81 -12 134 -12C220 -12 325 61 325 141C325 184 297 215 234 256C194 282 161 309 161 346C161 380 188 401 217 401C255 401 279 380 301 353C308 344 313 341 325 347C341 355 352 371 352 391Z" id="g113-116"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,14.562,0)"><path d="M536 404C536 423 520 448 491 448C445 448 398 404 308 283L286 338C255 416 242 448 217 448C182 448 138 402 92 341L111 321C149 368 169 378 178 378C188 378 198 363 214 320L254 212C185 117 138 65 107 65C98 65 85 69 82 75C79 82 73 86 65 86C44 86 23 60 23 39C23 7 44 -12 71 -12C119 -12 168 33 265 177L306 61C321 17 347 -12 373 -12C413 -12 465 33 507 96L491 119C459 84 432 60 413 60C395 60 378 92 358 148L321 250C341 279 369 310 389 332C417 363 439 382 456 382C466 382 475 376 481 368C486 361 492 358 496 358C513 358 536 381 536 404Z" id="g113-121"></path></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">0.0026</td><td class="align_center">0.0018</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="3"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<div>The results of the estimated parameters.</div>

Journal of Control Science and Engineering

tab1

Table 1

Table 1: A New Residual Life Prediction Method for Complex Systems Based on Wiener Process and Evidential Reasoning 