Research Article
Research on Railway Passenger Volume Forecast Based on the Spline Interpolation and IPSO-Gradient Difference Acceleration Rule
Table 2
Forecast values of the railroad passenger traffic in Beijing for different forecasting methods.
| Forecast year | BP neural network prediction method | Holt exponential smoothing method | Average weighted portfolio method | IPSO-redifferential acceleration law method | Forecast value (million people) | Absolute value of prediction errors (%) | Forecast value (million people) | Absolute value of prediction errors (%) | Forecast value (million people) | Absolute value of prediction errors (%) | Forecast value (million people) | Absolute value of prediction errors (%) |
| 2017 | 14195 | 2.323 | 13996 | 0.887 | 14096 | 1.605 | 13777 | 0.694 | 2018 | 14922 | 4.548 | 14613 | 2.382 | 14768 | 3.465 | 14272 | 0.007 | 2019 | 15495 | 5.017 | 15229 | 3.212 | 15362 | 4.115 | 14936 | 1.227 |
|
|