Which Part of a Short, Global Risk Assessment, the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community, Predicts Adverse Healthcare Outcomes?

Figure 1

Receiver operating characteristic curves demonstrating the accuracy of the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC), mental state, activities of daily living (ADL) and medical state domains, the abbreviated mental test score (AMTS), Barthel Index, Charlson Comorbidity Index, Clinical Frailty Scale, and public health nurses’ (PHNs) perception of frailty in identifying one-year risk of (a) institutionalisation, (b) hospital admission (at least one), and (c) death.

(a) ROC curve predicting actual institutionalization

(b) ROC curve predicting actual hospitalization

(c) ROC curve Predicting actual death