Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 18
MAPE values of support vector regression models for fatal cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.003765 | 0.004802 | 0.006072 | 0.010939 | 4.416103 | 4.064632 | 0.857073 | 0.30425 | Test 3 | 0.000701 | 0.005511 | 0.000817 | 0.000646 | 1.948793 | 0.222187 | 0.276933 | 0.2145 | Train 7 | 0.006419 | 0.009178 | 0.015502 | 0.019093 | 4.343917 | 4.159286 | 0.956759 | 0.317696 | Test 7 | 0.001539 | 0.013893 | 0.000854 | 0.000385 | 1.320155 | 0.123105 | 0.15837 | 0.142423 | Train 14 | 0.011256 | 0.016954 | 0.043637 | 0.031653 | 4.861689 | 3.829763 | 0.911865 | 0.401937 | Test 14 | 0.002398 | 0.031704 | 0.000878 | 0.001358 | 1.392047 | 0.15902 | 0.21682 | 0.173629 | Train 21 | 0.016029 | 0.024938 | 0.070958 | 0.046336 | 4.903038 | 4.657209 | 0.497613 | 0.517992 | Test 21 | 0.002987 | 0.050664 | 0.000807 | 0.003872 | 1.797445 | 0.419907 | 0.227797 | 0.229247 | Train 30 | 0.02277 | 0.038143 | 0.10976 | 0.063765 | 5.883873 | 3.226588 | 0.881677 | 0.654389 | Test 30 | 0.003373 | 0.079958 | 0.000763 | 0.00951 | 4.348637 | 0.284453 | 0.239565 | 0.267526 |
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