Research Article
Effective Utilization of Data for Predicting COVID-19 Dynamics: An Exploration through Machine Learning Models
Table 17
MAPE values of support vector regression models for confirmed cases.
| Forecast period (days) | Cumulative cases | Daily cases | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine | Germany | Japan | South Korea | Ukraine |
| Train 3 | 0.01081 | 0.00761 | 0.037698 | 0.002576 | 0.428747 | 0.834929 | 0.26526 | 0.207072 | Test 3 | 0.000968 | 0.005581 | 0.001588 | 0.00378 | 0.266631 | 0.110273 | 0.136966 | 0.156381 | Train 7 | 0.016709 | 0.014585 | 0.06877 | 0.004817 | 0.475477 | 0.706441 | 0.422481 | 0.271758 | Test 7 | 0.00059 | 0.005033 | 0.000865 | 0.010244 | 0.179739 | 0.087962 | 0.172116 | 0.168697 | Train 14 | 0.029249 | 0.029065 | 0.103574 | 0.011468 | 0.655775 | 0.829557 | 0.594183 | 0.414621 | Test 14 | 0.000927 | 0.025298 | 0.003399 | 0.025782 | 0.239441 | 0.109741 | 0.220938 | 0.216823 | Train 21 | 0.04544 | 0.052855 | 0.13259 | 0.018537 | 0.803028 | 0.870909 | 0.839054 | 0.526918 | Test 21 | 0.000895 | 0.07172 | 0.011317 | 0.047973 | 0.260429 | 0.107378 | 0.242646 | 0.23299 | Train 30 | 0.063497 | 0.067262 | 0.176482 | 0.036429 | 0.946648 | 0.784371 | 0.993964 | 0.631374 | Test 30 | 0.001233 | 0.157201 | 0.034564 | 0.086736 | 0.342491 | 0.288011 | 0.261809 | 0.268311 |
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