Research Article

Tracking of Blood Pressure in Children and Adolescents in Germany in the Context of Risk Factors for Hypertension

Table 4

Positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of various hypertension risk factors or risk factor combinations for hypertensive BP at six-year follow-up.

nProportion at t0  % (95% CI)PPV % (95% CI)NPV % (95% CI)

Baseline age 3 to 10 years

Hypertensive BP at t020167.9 (6.8-9.1)39 (32-46)87 (87-88)
Overweight or obesity at t0201112 (11-14)27 (22-32)87 (86-88)
Obesity at t020112.2 (1.7-3.0)36 (23-50)86 (85-86)
Parental hypertension194229 (27-31)18 (15-20)87 (86-88)
Hypertensive BP and overweight or obesity at t020112.0 (1.5-2.7)48 (33-62)86 (86-86)
Hypertensive BP and obesity at t020110.7 (0.4-1.2)53 (30-76)86 (85-86)
Hypertensive BP at t0 and parental hypertension19422.6 (2.0-3.4)51 (38-64)86 (86-87)

Baseline age 11 to 17 years

Hypertensive BP at t052611 (8.8-14)34 (24-45)87 (85-88)
Overweight or obesity at t052517 (14-20)24 (17-33)87 (85-88)
Obesity at t05252.7 (1.6-4.5)50 (27-74)86 (85-87)
Parental hypertension48132 (28-36)21 (16-26)87 (85-89)
Hypertensive BP and overweight or obesity at t05253.2 (2.0-5.1)35 (17-59)85 (85-86)
Hypertensive BP and obesity at t05250.6 (0.2-1.8)§85 (85-85)
Hypertensive BP at t0 and parental hypertension4814.8 (3.2-7.1)48 (30-67)86 (85-87)

n<=10 subjects
Hypertensive BP: SBP or DBP at or above the 95th age-, sex-, and height-specific percentile for children and adolescents under 18 years or BP ≥140/90 mmHg irrespective of the percentile; for adults aged 18 or older: ≥140/90 mmHg.