Research Article

Modeling Impacts of Climate Change on Giant Panda Habitat

Table 4

Predicted suitable habitat outside the current giant panda distribution based on the Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling Analysis (CGCM3) and Hadley Center for Climate Modeling (HadCM3).

RangePotential new habitat in km2 (%)Protected new habitat in km2 (%)New habitat at elevations >3500 mSpatial overlap in km2 (%)Protected overlap in km2 (%)
CGCM3HadCM3CGCM3HadCM3CGCM3HadCM3

Qinling10,883 (32)6,153 (25)1,597 (29)1,291 (26)4 (<1)4 (<1)9,269 (41)3,745 (45)
Minshan16,907 (49)12,320 (51)2,299 (42)2,500 (51)6,909 (68)2,209 (45)7,109 (31)2,345 (28)
Qionglai4,359 (13)3,003 (12)1,005 (18)893 (18)2,897 (29)2,106 (43)4,466 (20)1,827 (22)
Xiaoxiangling1,102 (3)883 (4)539 (10)186 (4)254 (3)267 (5)561 (2)170 (2)
Daxiangling702 (2)615 (3)38 (1)38 (1)0 (0)0 (0)531 (2)44 (1)
Liangshan246 (1)1,303 (5)1 (<1)2 (<1)73 (1)288 (6)634 (3)112 (1)

Total34,19924,2785,4774,911 10,1364,87422,5708,245