Modeling Impacts of Climate Change on Giant Panda Habitat

Table 2

Current and predicted suitable habitat for giant panda based on the Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling Analysis (CGCM3) and Hadley Center for Climate Modeling (HadCM3)¹.

Range	Remaining habitat in km^2(%)			Lost habitat in km^2(%)		Protected habitat in km^2(%)			Number of patches (>200 km^2)
	Current	CGCM3	HadCM3	CGCM3	HadCM3	Current	CGCM3	HadCM3	Current	CGCM3	HadCM3
Qinling	4,068	4,063 (99)	3,387 (83)	5 (<1)	681 (17)	2,919 (72)	2,917 (72)	2,517 (62)	2	2	2
Minshan	12,076	2,694 (22)	4,866 (40)	9,383 (77)	7,210 (60)	8,144 (67)	1,989 (16)	3,395 (28)	5	4	7
Qionlai	6,551	4,089 (62)	2,218 (34)	2,462 (38)	4,333 (66)	2,461 (38)	1,869 (28)	1,265 (19)	4	4	2
Xiaoxiangling	1731	48 (3)	136 (8)	1,683 (97)	1,596 (92)	531 (31)	20 (<1)	27 (<1)	3	0	0
Daxiangling	365	37 (10)	39 (11)	328 (90)	326 (89)	123 (34)	22 (6)	20 (5)	1	0	0
Liangshan	3,481	590 (17	1,369 (40)	2,891 (83)	2,112 (61)	885 (25)	136 (4)	292 (8)	3	1	3
Total	28,273	11,520 (41)	12,015 (43)	16,753 (59)	16,258 (58)	15,062	6,950 (25)	7,516 (27)	18	11	14

¹Remaining habitat are the areas of the current range predicted to remain suitable and lost habitat are areas not predicted to remain suitable in 2080. Protected habitat estimates are based on the current protected area system and percentages were calculated against the current distribution.