Fire-Risk Assessment in Northern Greece Using a Modified Fosberg Fire-Weather Index That Includes Forest Coverage

<div>The mrFFWI <svg height="12.584pt" id="M18" style="vertical-align:-3.29567pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 26.4681 12.584" width="26.4681pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M584 650H137L131 622C214 614 217 612 200 521L125 127C109 41 101 35 23 28L17 0H288L294 28C201 35 193 42 209 128L242 309H348C440 309 442 300 443 226H471L510 422H482C452 354 449 348 357 348H251L295 575C302 609 304 615 338 615H426C502 615 517 604 526 581C534 560 536 524 537 492L565 494C574 554 583 631 584 650Z" id="g113-71"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="607" vert-adv-y="607"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.284,3.132)"><path d="M384 109C349 76 310 59 268 59C197 59 123 113 120 245C240 248 367 259 384 262C403 266 407 275 407 296C407 376 338 451 254 451H253C201 451 148 425 105 378C65 334 39 272 39 203C39 88 112 -12 235 -12C266 -12 339 5 402 84L384 109ZM230 411C285 411 319 365 319 313C319 298 313 293 294 293C236 291 180 290 125 290C141 370 185 411 230 411Z" id="g58-99"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="434" vert-adv-y="434"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.233,3.132)"><path d="M100 439H52L25 408L28 396H100V106C100 41 92 35 31 30V0H250V29C188 37 181 41 181 106V396H372V107C372 40 365 37 309 29V0H537V29C461 37 453 40 453 106V396H564C576 403 579 428 574 439H453V469C452 558 462 604 474 623S500 656 527 656C562 656 589 634 608 615C619 604 628 607 639 615C647 622 658 633 661 641C666 653 664 664 656 674C637 696 609 708 572 710C528 703 483 682 439 638C418 661 380 685 320 688C269 683 230 666 190 633C139 593 122 550 113 525S100 476 100 451V439ZM372 439H181V461C181 530 194 571 211 598C226 621 248 643 287 643C343 643 379 607 400 578C391 561 384 546 381 529C376 510 372 486 372 457V439Z" id="g58-26"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="572" vert-adv-y="572"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,21.811,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg> map for the determination of the fire danger over the CM/EMT area for October. Red colored areas correspond to moderate danger level <svg height="12.584pt" id="M19" style="vertical-align:-3.29567pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.28833 53.9183 12.584" width="53.9183pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M584 650H137L131 622C214 614 217 612 200 521L125 127C109 41 101 35 23 28L17 0H288L294 28C201 35 193 42 209 128L242 309H348C440 309 442 300 443 226H471L510 422H482C452 354 449 348 357 348H251L295 575C302 609 304 615 338 615H426C502 615 517 604 526 581C534 560 536 524 537 492L565 494C574 554 583 631 584 650Z" id="g113-71"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="607" vert-adv-y="607"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,11.284,3.132)"><path d="M384 109C349 76 310 59 268 59C197 59 123 113 120 245C240 248 367 259 384 262C403 266 407 275 407 296C407 376 338 451 254 451H253C201 451 148 425 105 378C65 334 39 272 39 203C39 88 112 -12 235 -12C266 -12 339 5 402 84L384 109ZM230 411C285 411 319 365 319 313C319 298 313 293 294 293C236 291 180 290 125 290C141 370 185 411 230 411Z" id="g58-99"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="434" vert-adv-y="434"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.233,3.132)"><path d="M100 439H52L25 408L28 396H100V106C100 41 92 35 31 30V0H250V29C188 37 181 41 181 106V396H372V107C372 40 365 37 309 29V0H537V29C461 37 453 40 453 106V396H564C576 403 579 428 574 439H453V469C452 558 462 604 474 623S500 656 527 656C562 656 589 634 608 615C619 604 628 607 639 615C647 622 658 633 661 641C666 653 664 664 656 674C637 696 609 708 572 710C528 703 483 682 439 638C418 661 380 685 320 688C269 683 230 666 190 633C139 593 122 550 113 525S100 476 100 451V439ZM372 439H181V461C181 530 194 571 211 598C226 621 248 643 287 643C343 643 379 607 400 578C391 561 384 546 381 529C376 510 372 486 372 457V439Z" id="g58-26"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="572" vert-adv-y="572"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,25.443,0)"><path d="M512 230V281L75 514V456L453 256V254L75 55V-3L512 230Z" id="g117-92"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,36.706,0)"><path d="M412 140C382 77 369 73 315 73H129L270 222C362 320 402 379 402 466C402 571 322 635 234 635C177 635 130 609 99 576L42 495L64 475C90 514 133 568 201 568C274 568 318 519 318 435C318 349 255 267 193 193C144 135 87 78 32 23V0H405C417 45 427 89 440 131L412 140Z" id="g113-51"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,42.946,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 -12C390 -12 443 166 443 312C443 466 390 635 241 635ZM238 602C329 602 354 454 354 312C354 172 330 22 240 22C152 22 124 173 124 313S148 602 238 602Z" id="g113-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,49.186,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg>, while the rest of colors correspond to low danger. The dots correspond to the fire events observed in the period 1984–1997 for the same month (a total number of 68) and their size is proportional to the area burned (in ha) per incident (the greater area burned was 1,580 ha).</div>

International Journal of Atmospheric Sciences

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Figure 9

Figure 9: Fire-Risk Assessment in Northern Greece Using a Modified Fosberg Fire-Weather Index That Includes Forest Coverage 