Establishment of Early Multi-Indicator Prediction Models of Moderately Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Table 4

The predictive values of independent prognostic indexes and predictive models of MSAP and SAP.

	AUC		Critical value	Sensitivity (%)	Specificity (%)	Positive predictive value	Negative predictive value	Youden index	Accuracy rate (%)
WBC	0.732	<0.0001	>11.49	72.28	68.32	75.10	34.91	0.4060	70.58
LDH	0.716	<0.0001	>246	78.65	56.93	70.71	66.86	0.3558	69.30
CRP	0.684	<0.0001	>84.05	71.54	64.85	72.90	63.29	0.3639	68.66
sCr	0.528	0.299	>106	16.10	95.54	82.69	46.28	0.1165	50.32
TG	0.700	<0.0001	>2.01	54.31	77.72	76.32	56.27	0.3203	64.39
D-dimer	0.679	<0.0001	>2.23	65.17	65.35	71.31	58.67	0.3052	65.25
Serum potassium	0.568	0.0097	>4.27	32.58	85.64	75.00	49.01	0.1823	55.44
Serum calcium	0.640	<0.0001	≤1.98	42.32	83.17	76.87	52.17	0.2549	59.91
unwScore	0.854	<0.0001	>3	67.42	87.13	87.38	66.92	0.5454	75.91
wScore	0.837	<0.0001	>0.513	70.41	81.19	83.19	67.48	0.5210	75.05

Note: MSAP: moderately severe acute pancreatitis; SAP: severe acute pancreatitis; AUC: area under the ROC curve; WBC: white blood cell; LDH: lactate dehydrogenase; CRP: C-reactive protein; sCr: serum creatinine; TG: triglycerides; unwScore: unweighted predictive score; wScore: weighted predictive score.