Research Article

International Normalized Ratio-to-Albumin Ratio as a Novel Marker of Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Severity

Table 3

Predictive variables of ICU admission.

VariablesAUC (95% CI)CutoffSensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)PPV (95% CI)NPV (95% CI)

PTAR0.720 (0.679–0.758)>0.32074.23 (66.8–80.8)58.43 (53.1–63.6)45.0 (41.2–48.8)83.2 (79.0–86.7)
GBS0.653 (0.610–0.694)>684.66 (78.2–89.8)41.01 (35.9–46.3)39.7 (37.1–42.3)85.4 (79.9–89.5)
AIMS65 score0.656 (0.613–0.697)>151.53 (43.6–59.4)75.56 (70.8–79.9)49.1 (43.3–55.0)77.3 (74.2–80.1)
Rockall score (pre-endoscopy)0.617 (0.574–0.659)>439.26 (31.7–47.2)78.09 (73.4–82.3)45.1 (38.4–51.9)73.7 (71.0–76.3)
Rockall score (complete)0.670 (0.628–0.710)>576.69 (69.4–82.9)49.44 (44.1–54.8)41 (37.8–44.2)82.2 (77.5–86.2)

ICU, intensive care unit; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; PTAR, prothrombin time-international normalized ratio-to-albumin ratio; GBS, Glasgow–Blatchford Score; AIM65, albumin, international normalized ratio, mental status, systolic blood pressure, age >65 years.