Economic Assessment of Producing Corn and Cellulosic Ethanol Mandate on Agricultural Producers and Consumers in the United States

Table 2

Average change in major crop acres from baseline due to biofuel production mandate across the US farm resource regions under specified biofuel scenarios and no conservation reserve program assumption (million acres).

Scenario	Switchgrass	Corn	Soybean	Wheat	Cotton	Hay
Baseline	0.0	82.6	79.5	52.6	11.6	59.6
	Change in major crop acres relative to baseline, million acres
0 + 16	61.7	−11.8	−17.2	−10.0	−1.5	−5.3
16 + 16	61.7	−4.7	−16.3	−11.2	−1.5	−5.6
0 + 20	77.1	−14.7	−21.1	−12.0	−1.8	−6.6
16 + 20	77.1	−6.4	−19.9	−13.6	−1.8	−6.9

Refer to Table 1 for description of biofuel scenarios.
The total decrease in major crop acres is 45.8 million acres. The remaining 15.9 million acres (61.7 − 45.8 = 15.9) for SG production to fulfill the cellulosic ethanol mandate is available from acreage adjustments among other crops (barley, oats, cotton, peanuts, and rice) included in the AGSIM model. It is the same case with other scenarios.