Biofuel Expansion, Fertilizer Use, and GHG Emissions: Unintended Consequences of Mitigation Policies

Table 9

Change in production and net trade between baseline and afforestation scenario (2023).

	Production	Net trade
United States
Wheat	−11.20%	−25.14%
Corn	−10.31%	−31.38%
Soybeans	−22.85%	−35.97%
Beef	−6.95%	118.31%
Pork	−4.69%	−19.49%
Broiler	−6.01%	−14.69%
Ethanol	−0.02%	0.08%
Biodiesel	−4.66%	1082.43%*
Rest of the world
Wheat	0.49%	3.53%
Corn	3.91%	43.90%
Soybeans	6.52%	15.73%
Beef	0.66%	2.52%
Pork	2.61%	3.02%
Broiler	1.75%	3.00%
Ethanol	−0.06%	0.21%
Biodiesel	−0.60%	0.24%

∗Biodiesel imports increase from 4.3 million gallons to 50.7 million gallons between the baseline and the scenario.