Predicting Social Unrest Events with Hidden Markov Models Using GDELT

<div>Mention counts of protest events occurring in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand extracted from GDELT between January 1, 2001, and February 29, 2016.</div>

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

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Figure 4

Figure 4: Predicting Social Unrest Events with Hidden Markov Models Using GDELT 