Research Article
Parameter Estimation and Prediction of COVID-19 Epidemic Turning Point and Ending Time of a Case Study on SIR/SQAIR Epidemic Models
Table 1
The daily number of infected people and deaths for COVID-19 in South Korea from Feb. 15 to Apr. 28, 2020 [
18,
19].
| | Infected people | Daily deaths | | Infected people | Daily deaths | | Infected people | Daily deaths |
| 0 | 19 | 0 | 26 | 7293 | 6 | 52 | 3445 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 27 | 7198 | 1 | 53 | 3408 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 28 | 7180 | 5 | 54 | 3246 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 7253 | 3 | 55 | 3125 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 30 | 7024 | 0 | 56 | 3026 | 3 | 5 | 94 | 1 | 31 | 6838 | 6 | 57 | 2930 | 3 | 6 | 190 | 1 | 32 | 6789 | 3 | 58 | 2873 | 3 | 7 | 416 | 0 | 33 | 6527 | 7 | 59 | 2808 | 5 | 8 | 578 | 4 | 34 | 6325 | 3 | 60 | 2750 | 3 | 9 | 803 | 2 | 35 | 6085 | 8 | 61 | 2627 | 4 | 10 | 944 | 3 | 36 | 5884 | 2 | 62 | 2576 | 1 | 11 | 1225 | 1 | 37 | 5684 | 7 | 63 | 2484 | 2 | 12 | 1729 | 1 | 38 | 5410 | 9 | 64 | 2385 | 2 | 13 | 2297 | 3 | 39 | 5281 | 6 | 65 | 2324 | 2 | 14 | 3109 | 1 | 40 | 4966 | 5 | 66 | 2233 | 1 | 15 | 3685 | 4 | 41 | 4665 | 8 | 67 | 2179 | 1 | 16 | 4277 | 7 | 42 | 4523 | 5 | 68 | 2050 | 2 | 17 | 5120 | 4 | 43 | 4398 | 8 | 69 | 1967 | 0 | 18 | 5498 | 3 | 44 | 4275 | 6 | 70 | 1843 | 2 | 19 | 6107 | 7 | 45 | 4216 | 4 | 71 | 1769 | 2 | 20 | 6415 | 1 | 46 | 4155 | 3 | 72 | 1731 | 1 | 21 | 6875 | 5 | 47 | 3979 | 4 | 73 | — | — | 22 | 7097 | 2 | 48 | 3867 | 5 | 74 | — | — | 23 | 7178 | 3 | 49 | 3654 | 3 | 75 | — | — | 24 | 7165 | 7 | 50 | 3591 | 6 | 76 | — | — | 25 | 7362 | 0 | 51 | 3500 | 3 | 77 | — | — |
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