Research Article

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model of the Risk of Pneumonia in Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Table 1

Baseline indicators in the training cohort and validation cohort.

CharacteristicTraining cohortValidation cohort
No pneumoniaIncident pneumonia valueNo pneumoniaIncident pneumonia value

Participants991064747
Age (year)32.00 (14.00–86.00)61.50 (17.00–97.00)<0.00139.00 (17.00–79.00)69.00 (2.00–89.00)<0.001
Gender0.7180.668
Female52 (52.53%)53 (50.00%)29 (61.70%)31 (65.96%)
Male47 (47.47%)53 (50.00%)18 (38.30%)16 (34.04%)
CRP (mg/L)6.82 (0.00–154.30)18.60 (0.47–359.14)<0.0011.66 (0.00–115.27)28.21 (0.00–236.13)<0.001
WBC (109/L)5.40 (1.41–10.36)5.53 (2.36–15.56)0.0387.35 (2.43–9.42)6.82 (2.54–14.64)0.511
RBC (1012/L)4.86 (3.31–6.44)4.79 (2.78–6.55)0.1784.90 (3.84–6.29)4.46 (3.30–5.62)<0.001
HGB (g/L)146.00 (67.00–184.00)145.00 (93.00–192.00)0.224141.00 (116.00–173.00)132.00 (100.00–171.00)0.002
PLT (109/L)185.00 (98.00–361.00)173.00 (51.00–460.00)0.090269.00 (136.00–424.00)221.00 (59.00–579.00)0.008
%Neu (%)69.10 (29.00–89.30)70.65 (38.80–94.10)0.01961.30 (44.70–82.10)71.40 (44.70–92.60)<0.001
%Lymph (%)19.70 (4.40–60.60)20.00 (2.40–53.80)0.18930.70 (8.90–47.60)19.40 (5.80–47.00)<0.001
%Mon (%)9.40 (3.70–29.50)7.90 (1.40–20.10)<0.0017.00 (3.40–14.50)7.20 (1.50–19.30)0.295
%Eos (%)0.60 (0.00–8.00)0.25 (0.00–5.90)0.0161.20 (0.00–11.20)0.70 (0.00–3.20)0.017
#Eos (109/L)0.03 (0.00–0.35)0.01 (0.00–0.36)0.0570.08 (0.00–0.91)0.04 (0.00–0.23)0.022
%Bas (%)0.20 (0.00–7.50)0.10 (0.00–0.80)0.0020.20 (0.00–0.70)0.10 (0.00–0.40)0.004
#Bas (109/L)0.01 (0.00–0.32)0.01 (0.00–0.03)0.0490.01 (0.00–0.04)0.01 (0.00–0.02)0.001
#Neu (109/L)3.45 (0.72–8.25)3.75 (0.91–14.36)0.0124.26 (1.47–6.85)4.67 (1.46–12.80)0.188
#Lymph (109/L)1.05 (0.23–3.56)1.06 (0.24–5.47)0.8642.05 (0.73–3.34)1.19 (0.55–3.94)<0.001
#Mon (109/L)0.48 (0.19–1.50)0.43 (0.08–1.51)0.2160.48 (0.17–0.74)0.52 (0.14–1.14)0.388
HCT (%)42.10 (22.40–52.10)41.15 (26.00–53.30)0.13542.50 (36.20–52.00)39.80 (30.90–49.00)<0.001
MCV (fL)87.60 (55.30–98.10)87.55 (62.00–99.40)0.59789.30 (66.10–105.00)89.70 (69.30–102.50)0.427
MCHC (g/L)350.00 (301.00–369.00)352.00 (298.00–376.00)0.147331.00 (311.00–352.00)333.00 (315.00–353.00)0.198
MCH (Pg)30.70 (16.70–33.90)30.90 (20.10–35.20)0.28630.10 (21.00–34.40)30.10 (22.30–35.30)0.276
RDW-SD (fL)39.40 (33.30–55.50)40.15 (33.70–49.60)0.04040.50 (36.00–48.50)40.20 (32.50–49.90)0.771
RDW-CV (%)12.20 (11.30–19.90)12.40 (11.30–17.40)0.09612.10 (11.10–15.90)12.20 (10.90–14.00)0.803
PDW (%)16.20 (10.20–17.10)16.30 (15.40–17.80)0.01416.20 (15.60–16.80)16.30 (15.70–17.40)0.112
MPV (fL)9.50 (7.30–11.90)9.80 (8.00–12.40)0.0209.30 (7.70–11.70)9.50 (7.20–12.30)0.122
PCT (%)0.18 (0.10–0.34)0.17 (0.05–0.41)0.2470.25 (0.14–0.36)0.20 (0.06–0.53)0.010
P-LCR (%)23.80 (8.80–41.90)26.10 (12.40–44.90)0.03321.70 (12.60–39.20)24.20 (10.00–42.60)0.226

CRP = C reactive protein; WBC = white blood cells; RBC = red blood cells; HGB = hemoglobin; PLT = platelets; %Neu = neutrophils (percentage); %Lymph = lymphocytes (percentage); %Mon = monocytes (percentage); %Eos = eosinophils (percentage); #Eos = eosinophils (number); %Bas = basophils (percentage); #Bas = basophils (number); #Neu = neutrophils (number); #Lymph = lymphocytes (number); #Mon = monocytes (number); HCT = hematocrit; MCV = mean corpuscular volume; MCHC = mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration; MCH = mean corpuscular hemoglobin; RDW-SD = red cell distribution width-standard deviation; RDW-CV = red cell distribution width-coefficient of variation; PDW = platelet distribution width; MPV = mean platelet volume; PCT = plateletcrit; P-LCR = platelet large cell ratio.