Research Article
Time Series Modeling of Tuberculosis Cases in India from 2017 to 2022 Based on the SARIMA-NNAR Hybrid Model
Table 4
Forecasting comparison between the models for January 2023 to December 2023.
| | Forecasts of notified TB incidence | | Time | SARIMA | NNAR | Hybrid |
| | January 2023 | 176878.2 | 200034.5 | 192872.9 | | February 2023 | 188667.6 | 197658.7 | 192502.6 | | March 2023 | 199438.5 | 204757.0 | 193885.6 | | April 2023 | 201697.6 | 198512.6 | 191584.4 | | May 2023 | 205442.2 | 195662.8 | 189836.9 | | June 2023 | 203230.1 | 196040.8 | 189489.9 | | July 2023 | 199050.8 | 195976.4 | 191182.5 | | August 2023 | 197194.6 | 195673.3 | 191869.6 | | September 2023 | 198508.4 | 195615.5 | 191986.8 | | October 2023 | 191409.5 | 185075.7 | 187780.8 | | November 2023 | 199169.2 | 184996.2 | 190227.5 | | December 2023 | 198303.9 | 183353.1 | 191394.0 |
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