Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease: Ixodes scapularis Population Dynamics and Borrelia burgdorferi Transmission and Prevalence

Figure 4

Temporal dynamics of Lyme disease. Temporal dynamics of Borrelia burgdorferi infection at steady state for historical temperature, 3°C above historical, and 6°C above historical. (a) B. burgdorferi prevalence in questing nymphs (NI₂/(NI₂ + NU₂) (b) B. burgdorferi presence in questing adult ticks (AI₂/(AI₂ + AU₂). (c) B. burgdorferi prevalence in competent stationary hosts (CIS/(CIS + CUS)) (d) B. burgdorferi presence in competent mobile hosts (CIM/(CIM + CUM)). Note the difference in scale of the four panels.

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