Research Article
Bayesian Spatial and Trend Analysis on Ozone Extreme Data in South Korea: 1991–2015
Table 6
Predictive performance measures of various models using 5 years’ return level as observed maximum ozone value.
| Performance measures | Schlather’s model | Spatial GEV (MLE) | Bayesian kriging | Extremal-t model |
| MSE | 0.006 | 0.014 | 0.004 | 0.007 | RMSE | 0.077 | 0.118 | 0.063 | 0.083 | MAE | 0.008 | 0.089 | 0.002 | 0.009 | MAPE | 9.184 | 14.338 | 9.034 | 10.336 | BIAS | −0.008 | −0.030 | −0.078 | −0.009 | rBIAS | −0.092 | −0.118 | −0.088 | −0.104 | rMSEP | 1.004 | 1.182 | 1.003 | 1.009 |
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