TY - JOUR A2 - Gocic, Milan AU - Kim, Byung Sik AU - Chang, In Gi AU - Sung, Jang Hyun AU - Han, Hae Jin PY - 2016 DA - 2016/02/03 TI - Projection in Future Drought Hazard of South Korea Based on RCP Climate Change Scenario 8.5 Using SPEI SP - 4148710 VL - 2016 AB - The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) analysis was conducted using monthly precipitation data and temperature data on a 12.5 km × 12.5 km resolution based on a Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 climate change scenario, and the characteristics of drought were identified by the threshold. In addition, the changes in drought severity and intensity were projected using the threshold based on the run-length concept and frequency analysis. As a result of the analysis, the probability density function of the total drought and maximum drought intensity moved the upper tail for the upcoming years, and the average drought intensity was also projected to become stronger in the future than in the present to the right side. Through this, it could be projected that the drought scale and frequency and the drought intensity will become severer over South Korea because of future climate change. SN - 1687-9309 UR - https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/4148710 DO - 10.1155/2016/4148710 JF - Advances in Meteorology PB - Hindawi Publishing Corporation KW - ER -